A strong storm system is developing to our west today and this system promises to bring some much need rain along with the threat of strong storms to East Texas. Rainfall from this system looks to be around an inch for most of East Texas as we see plenty of moisture available for numerous showers and storm.
Today as you step outside you will notice a warm and kind of muggy atmosphere. Strong southerly winds have brought a lot of Gulf moisture to the area keeping temperatures very warm at night and allowing for afternoon highs to reach the upper 70s to near 80 degrees for many areas. This moisture will set the stage for a significant severe weather outbreak this afternoon to our west. Areas to the northwest of Dallas and Fort Worth will see scattered severe storms producing very large hail and tornadoes this afternoon. If you had any travel plans to these areas today you may want to postpone them until tomorrow when the large hail threat will be much lower.
The scattered severe storms this afternoon will form into a line of storms as a fast moving cold front moves towards the area. This will cause the storms to race east and reach our area tomorrow around midday in our western counties and during the afternoon hours across our eastern counties. This line of storms could produce some small hail and gusty winds but the good news is they will bring heavy rain. Much of the area should receive around an inch of rain with a few spots receiving over an inch and a half of rain with this line of storms. The image below shows much of East Texas receiving between 0.75” and 1.50” of rain with this line of storms tomorrow.
By Tuesday evening drier air will be moving in behind a Pacific cool front. Temperatures on Wednesday Morning will drop into the 40s as the dry air cools overnight. On Wednesday another front will move through the area bringing cooler Canadian air into East Texas. This will allow morning lows to drop down into the 30s By Friday with a few spots getting close to freezing. The roller coaster ride of temperatures we normally see in November will continue.