Friday, May 20, 2011
A storm system will bring a chance of strong to severe storms across East Texas this afternoon. This morning a line of storms was weakening to our west but as it moves into our area during the early afternoon hours, there should be enough heat and humidity to fuel addition thunderstorm development. Right now it appears the greatest threat from the strongest storms is hail up to the size of quarters and gusty winds to 60 mph. An isolated tornado can’t be ruled out but at this time the tornado threat appears fairly low.
Storms could continue overnight into early Saturday morning before ending shortly after sunrise. Most of Saturday appears to be dry but as we head towards the afternoon and evening hours, a few strong storms could develop in the daytime heat. Right now it appears there will not be as many thunderstorms on Saturday as we will see today. As with today’s storms, we could see a few reports of hail and high winds and because of this much of East Texas is under a slight risk of severe weather tomorrow.
Sunday looks to be warm to hot with lots of humidity. Highs will approach 90 degrees in many areas with heat index values in the lower to middle 90s. During the afternoon a disturbance will move into the area giving the northern half of East Texas another shot of afternoon storms. These storms may have a little more energy to feed on so a few could become severe. The main threat of severe weather will be north of I-20 and will include the chance of hail up to golfball size and strong gusty winds to 70 mph. With the forecast instability there could also be an isolated tornado with any of the stronger storms that do develop.
So if you have any outdoor plans this weekend stay tuned to the latest weather developments. I would not cancel them just yet but have a backup plan ready in case rain and storms move in. The good news is much of East Texas could see between 1 and 2 inches of rain before the weekend is over, something all of East Texas could use.